Stocks overcome hawkish Fed to finish higher

Peroni Financial Group Market Recap

The stock market navigated a volatile holiday-shortened week, overcoming a hawkish surprise from the Federal Reserve and several sharp reversals across technology stocks to finish higher. The S&P 500 (+0.9%), Nasdaq Composite (+2.4%), and DJIA (+0.7%) all advanced, as easing geopolitical tensions and a sharp decline in oil prices helped offset concerns about a higher-for-longer interest rate environment.

The week's most significant development came on Wednesday, when the June FOMC meeting delivered a more hawkish tone than many investors expected. While the Committee left the federal funds target range unchanged, updated economic projections showed inflation remaining persistently above target and pushed out expectations for future policy easing. The median path now implies no rate cuts in 2026, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first meeting at the helm was widely interpreted as reinforcing a higher-for-longer policy stance. Stocks sold off sharply following the announcement, but the weakness proved short-lived as investors stepped back into many of the market's favored areas.

Semiconductor stocks remained the market's primary leadership group, though the path higher was far from smooth. Investors repeatedly bought those pullbacks, with Thursday's rebound driven by strength in Intel, Micron, and other memory names. The group's resilience helped propel the information technology sector (+3.1%) to the top of the leaderboard and pushed the Nasdaq Composite to a decisive weekly outperformance.

Investors also continued to focus on SpaceX, which remained one of the market's most actively traded names following last week's IPO. Shares experienced their first meaningful bout of profit-taking following the FOMC meeting but still finished the week up 14.9%, highlighting continued enthusiasm for high-growth and AI-related themes.

Meanwhile, geopolitical developments provided an increasingly supportive backdrop. Confidence grew throughout the week that a framework agreement between the U.S. and Iran would ultimately hold, culminating in the signing of a 60-day memorandum of understanding. Crude oil prices tumbled roughly 11% during the week, easing inflation concerns and supporting economically sensitive groups ranging from airlines and homebuilders to industrial and consumer discretionary names. The energy sector (-6.6%) finished as the week's weakest performer as a result.

Beneath the surface, participation improved as investors looked beyond mega-cap technology stocks. The industrials sector (+2.6%) and the Russell 2000 (+1.2%) outperformed, while homebuilders rallied alongside falling rates and energy prices. Defensive groups moved in the opposite direction, with health care (-3.0%), consumer staples (-2.9%), and real estate (-3.5%) sectors finishing near the bottom of the sector leaderboard.

In the end, the market absorbed a hawkish Fed meeting surprisingly well. Falling oil prices, improving breadth, and persistent semiconductor leadership were enough to overcome concerns about delayed rate cuts, allowing the major averages to finish another week in positive territory.

  • Nasdaq Composite: +2.4% week-to-date

  • Russell 2000: +1.2% week-to-date

  • S&P 500: +0.9% week-to-date

  • DJIA: +0.7% week-to-date

  • S&P Mid Cap 400: -0.1% week-to-date